20250604 港股盤前資訊 #六四

2025年6月4日港股盤前資訊摘要及分析

一、前香港恒生指數(HSI)收市價

  • 恒生指數於6月3日收報23,828點,升146點或0.62%,大市氣氛明顯改善,主要受惠於大型權重股如建設銀行、比亞迪等領漲1

二、美國HSI ADR收市價

  • ADR比例恒指指數最新報23,710點,較昨日港股現貨收市價低約118點,反映外圍夜市情緒略為偏弱,預示港股今早或有輕微低開壓力2

三、牛熊證重貨區

  • 近期牛熊證街貨分佈顯示,恒指牛熊證重貨區貼近現貨收市價,若開市初段指數波動觸及相關區域,容易引發資金流動及短線波幅擴大。市場若突破重貨區,或會進一步吸引資金追入3

四、即時黑期價

  • 恒生指數期貨(06/2025合約)夜市最新報23,377點,較現貨低水約451點,顯示市場預期今日開市有明顯調整壓力5。期貨低水反映投資者對短線回吐風險有所警惕。

五、金管局流動性操作及HIBOR走向

  • 香港金管局近日通過貼現窗口向銀行提供30.1億元流動性,顯示銀行體系結餘有所收緊,銀行間資金需求上升6。受此影響,HIBOR利率近期呈上升趨勢,特別是1個月及3個月HIBOR,反映資金成本上升,對本地地產及高槓桿板塊或構成壓力。

綜合分析

  • 港股昨收高,但ADR及期貨均顯示今早或有低開壓力,短線需留意外圍情緒及資金流動。
  • 牛熊證重貨區貼近現價,若開市觸及相關區域,或會出現短線急升或急跌,建議投資者密切留意開市初段波動。
  • 金管局主動釋放流動性,反映銀行體系結餘收緊,HIBOR利率上升,短線對地產、收租及高負債板塊不利,但有助穩定金融體系。
  • 整體而言,港股短線波幅或加大,若能守穩牛熊證重貨區上方,後市有望維持強勢;反之,若低開後未能迅速回補,需警惕資金短線獲利回吐。

結論:
今日港股或低開後波幅擴大,建議投資者短線靈活部署,密切關注牛熊證重貨區及資金面變化,尤其HIBOR走勢對相關板塊的影響。

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檢查來源

  1. https://hk.investing.com/indices/hang-sen-40
  2. http://www.aastocks.com/en/usq/quote/adr.aspx
  3. https://www.bnppwarrant.com/tc/cbbc/outstanding-distribution
  4. http://www.aastocks.com/en/stocks/market/bmpfutures.aspx
  5. https://www.etnet.com.hk/www/tc/futures/index.php
  6. https://www.hkma.gov.hk/eng/key-functions/money/liquidity-facility-framework/hong-kong-dollar-liquidity-facility-framework/
  7. https://www.syfe.com/hk/magazine/jun-time-deposit-interest-rate-hk/
  8. https://www.citiwarrants.com/tc/cbbc/cbbc-outstanding
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  14. https://au.finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EHSI/history/
  15. https://www.hkex.com.hk/Market-Data/Futures-and-Options-Prices/Equity-Index/Hang-Seng-Index-Futures-and-Options?sc_lang=en
  16. https://www.nyse.com/index
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  19. https://www.marketwatch.com/market-data/us
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  21. https://hk.warrants.com/tc/cbbc/outstanding-distribution
  22. https://www.hstong.com/news/detail/25060406451601460
  23. https://www.163.com/dy/article/K16L05KJ0519QIKK.html
  24. https://www.marketwatch.com/investing/future/hsim25?countrycode=hk
  25. https://www.investing.com/indices/hong-kong-40-futures
  26. https://www.hkex.com.hk/Market-Data/Futures-and-Options-Prices/Equity-Index/Hang-Seng-Index-Futures-Options?sc_lang=en
  27. https://hk.investing.com/indices/hong-kong-40-futures
  28. https://www.hkma.gov.hk/media/eng/doc/key-information/press-release/2025/20250530e3a1.pdf
  29. https://www.hkma.gov.hk/eng/news-and-media/insight/2025/05/20250520/
  30. https://www.hkma.gov.hk/eng/data-publications-and-research/data-and-statistics/monthly-statistical-bulletin/table/
  31. https://www.163.com/dy/article/K15C072V0519D45U.html
  32. https://finance.stockstar.com/IG2025060300029653.shtml
  33. https://www.macrotrends.net/2594/hang-seng-composite-index-historical-chart-data
  34. https://tradingeconomics.com/hsi:ind
  35. https://www.ztsc.com.hk/upload/20250603/20250603091233786.pdf
  36. https://www.investing.com/indices/hang-sen-40-historical-data
  37. https://hk.finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EHSI/history?period1=1483286400&period2=1515168000&interval=1d&filter=history&frequency=1d
  38. https://www.moomoo.com/stock/.HSIADR-US
  39. https://www.cyber3hk.com/?p=422
  40. https://www.sl886.com/adr
  41. http://www.aastocks.com/tc/usq/quote/adr.aspx
  42. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Jamie_Johnson_(TV_series)
  43. https://uk.linkedin.com/in/charliespargo
  44. https://www.bbc.com/cbbc
  45. http://www.aastocks.com/tc/stocks/market/bmpfutures.aspx
  46. https://www.bloomberg.com/markets/stocks/futures
  47. https://www.regulationtomorrow.com/asia/hkma-introduces-liquidity-measures-to-assist-banking-industry-in-response-to-covid-19-outbreak/

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