2025年6月5日港股盤前資訊摘要及分析
一、前香港恒生指數(HSI)收市價
- 恒生指數於6月4日收報23,828點,升146點或0.62%,連續兩日上升,創下自3月底以來新高,市場氣氛受權重股及券商看好中國市場帶動1。
二、美國HSI ADR收市價
- ADR比例恒指指數最新報23,710點,較昨日現貨收市價低約118點,反映夜市美股偏軟,預示今日恒指或有輕微低開壓力2。
三、牛熊證重貨區
- 截至6月5日,恒指牛熊街貨比例為60:40。熊證重貨區集中於24,000-24,199點,牛證重貨區則在22,600-22,699點及23,200-23,299點。現貨貼近熊證重貨區,若開市突破24,000點,或觸發熊證收回,加劇波幅3。
四、即時黑期價
- 恒指期貨(6月合約)最新報23,662點,較現貨低水約166點,反映市場預期今日開市有輕微調整壓力4。
五、香港政府發行綠色債券及基建債券
- 香港政府成功定價約270億港元等值的綠色及基建債券,涵蓋港元、人民幣、美元及歐元。當中包括首度發行的30年期港元基建債券(3.85%)、20年及30年期人民幣債券(2.60%、2.70%)、5年期美元綠色債券(4.151%)及8年期歐元綠色債券(3.155%)。此次發行獲得超額認購,顯示國際資金對香港債券市場及可持續發展項目信心強勁,亦有助鞏固香港作為區域綠色金融樞紐地位56。
綜合分析
- 港股連續兩日上升,氣氛積極,但ADR及期指均反映今日或有低開壓力,短線需留意24,000點熊證重貨區的攻防,若突破或引發波動加劇。
- 牛證重貨區仍在23,200點附近,若大市回調,該區有望提供技術支持。
- 政府成功發行多幣種、長年期綠色及基建債券,獲國際資金追捧,對本地金融市場信心及資金流動性有正面作用,亦有助推動本地相關板塊(如金融、基建、綠色科技)中線表現。
- 短線仍需關注外圍美股走勢及資金流動,尤其現階段港股已累積一定升幅,波幅或加劇。
結論:
今日港股預期輕微低開,關鍵在於能否守穩或突破24,000點熊證重貨區。政府債券發行成功,為市場注入信心與流動性,惟短線需防高位震盪,建議投資者密切關注重貨區及外圍市況,靈活部署7200,7500。
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