20250606 港股盤前資訊

2025年6月6日港股盤前資訊摘要及分析

一、前香港恒生指數(HSI)收市價

  • 恒生指數於6月5日收報23,907點,升79點或0.33%,連續三日上升,創下兩周新高,市場氣氛持續偏好1

二、美國HSI ADR收市價

  • 6月5日美國時段,ADR比例恒指指數收報23,710點,較港股現貨收市價低約197點,預示今日恒指或有輕微低開壓力2

三、牛熊證重貨區

  • 截至6月6日,恒指牛熊街貨比例為59:41。熊證重貨區集中於24,000-24,199點及24,100-24,199點,分別有661張及659張熊證,牛證重貨區則在23,200-23,299點(578張)及23,400-23,499點(506張)3。現貨貼近熊證重貨區,若突破24,000點,或觸發熊證收回,波幅有機會擴大。

四、即時黑期價

  • 恒生指數期貨(06/2025合約)夜市最新報23,822點,較現貨低水85點,顯示市場預期今日開市有輕微調整壓力4

五、人行1萬億元三個月期買斷式逆回購操作影響

  • 人民銀行6月6日開展1萬億元人民幣三個月期買斷式逆回購操作,旨在維持銀行體系流動性充裕,穩定貨幣市場,並有助於錨定市場預期56。此舉意味內地資金面將繼續寬鬆,有利於中港股市資金流動性及投資氣氛。

六、港交所:首五月日均成交額按年增1.2倍

  • 港交所(00388.HK)公布,2025年首五個月香港證券市場日均成交額按年增長1.2倍,反映資金活躍度明顯提升,市場交投氣氛顯著改善,對港股中線表現構成有力支持。

綜合分析

  • 港股連升三日,氣氛正面,但ADR及期貨均反映今日或有輕微低開壓力,需留意24,000點熊證重貨區的攻防,若突破或引發波動加劇。
  • 牛證重貨區於23,200點附近,若大市回調,該區有望形成技術支持。
  • 人行逆回購操作釋放大量流動性,對內地及香港市場資金面均屬利好,有助穩定市場預期,提升投資者信心。
  • 港交所成交持續暢旺,顯示資金流入動力強,利好本地券商、金融及大型權重股。
  • 短線需關注外圍美股走勢及資金流動,港股已累積升幅,波幅或加劇。

結論:
今日港股預期輕微低開,關鍵在於能否穩守或突破24,000點熊證重貨區。人行流動性釋放及港交所成交暢旺,為市場帶來正面支撐,惟高位震盪風險增加,建議投資者密切關注重貨區及資金面變化,靈活部署。

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